{"id":4523,"date":"2025-02-26T11:01:44","date_gmt":"2025-02-26T06:01:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/?p=4523"},"modified":"2025-02-26T11:13:25","modified_gmt":"2025-02-26T06:13:25","slug":"inflation-in-carec-2024-trends-and-prospects-for-uzbekistan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/press\/inflation-in-carec-2024-trends-and-prospects-for-uzbekistan\/","title":{"rendered":"CAREC mamlakatlarida Inflyatsiya: 2024 yilgi tendensiyalar va O\u2018zbekiston uchun istiqbollar"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"90\" data-end=\"313\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><em data-start=\"90\" data-end=\"313\">(CAREC Instituti ma\u2019lumotlari asosida tayyorlangan tahliliy sharh: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.carecinstitute.org\/publications\/carec-institutes-quarterly-economic-monitor-no-15\/\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"noopener\" data-start=\"165\" data-end=\"311\">CAREC Institute Quarterly Economic Monitor No.15<\/a>)<\/em><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<h4 data-start=\"315\" data-end=\"377\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">CAREC mintaqasida inflyatsiya dinamikasi (2024 yil)<\/span><\/strong><\/h4>\n<p data-start=\"378\" data-end=\"897\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">2024 yilda Markaziy Osiyo mintaqaviy iqtisodiy hamkorligi (CAREC) davlatlari ikkita turli inflyatsion bosqichni boshdan kechirdi. Yilning birinchi yarmida inflyatsiya sezilarli darajada pasaydi, ammo ikkinchi yarmida u yana o\u2018sishni boshladi. Mintaqadagi o\u2018rtacha inflyatsiya darajasi 2023 yil fevraldagi 13,5%dan 2024 yil dekabrga kelib 5,6%ga tushdi, bunga Pokistondagi keskin pasayish (31,5%dan 4,9%ga tushish) katta hissa qo\u2018shdi. Bu mamlakat uchun 2018 yildan beri kuzatilgan eng past ko\u2018rsatkichdir.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"899\" data-end=\"999\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Biroq, 2024 yilning iyunidan dekabrigacha inflyatsiya quyidagi davlatlarda yana o\u2018sishni boshladi:<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"1000\" data-end=\"1175\">\n<li data-start=\"1000\" data-end=\"1042\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Ozarbayjon \u2013 1,1%dan 4,9%gacha<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1043\" data-end=\"1087\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Qirg\u2018iziston \u2013 4,5%dan 6,3%gacha<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1088\" data-end=\"1132\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Mo\u2018g\u2018uliston \u2013 5,1%dan 9,0%gacha<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1133\" data-end=\"1175\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Tojikiston \u2013 3,5%dan 4,1%gacha<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"1177\" data-end=\"1248\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Shu bilan birga, ba\u2019zi davlatlarda inflyatsiya kamayishda davom etdi:<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"1249\" data-end=\"1413\">\n<li data-start=\"1249\" data-end=\"1286\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Xitoy \u2013 0,2%dan 0,1%gacha<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1287\" data-end=\"1326\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Gruziya \u2013 2,2%dan 1,9%gacha<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1327\" data-end=\"1368\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Pokiston \u2013 12,6%dan 4,1%gacha<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1369\" data-end=\"1413\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">O\u2018zbekiston \u2013 10,6%dan 9,8%gacha<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"1415\" data-end=\"1589\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Shunga qaramay, Qozog\u2018iston, Mo\u2018g\u2018uliston va O\u2018zbekiston kabi davlatlarda inflyatsiya hanuzgacha markaziy banklar belgilagan maqsadli darajadan yuqoriroq bo\u2018lib qolmoqda.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<hr data-start=\"1591\" data-end=\"1594\" \/>\n<h3 data-start=\"1596\" data-end=\"1659\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">O\u2018zbekiston: ijobiy o\u2018zgarishlar va dolzarb muammolar<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"1660\" data-end=\"2371\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">2024 yilda O\u2018zbekistonda inflyatsiya 10,6%dan 9,8%gacha pasaydi, bu esa murakkab global iqtisodiy vaziyatga qaramay, ijobiy o\u2018zgarish sifatida baholanishi mumkin. Ushbu pasayishga quyidagi omillar ta\u2019sir ko\u2018rsatdi:<\/span><\/strong><br data-start=\"1878\" data-end=\"1881\" \/><br \/>\n<strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">&#8211; Pul-kredit siyosati nazorati \u2013 Markaziy bank inflyatsiyani jilovlash strategiyasini davom ettirib, narxlarning haddan tashqari oshib ketishiga yo\u2018l qo\u2018ymadi.<\/span><\/strong><br data-start=\"2044\" data-end=\"2047\" \/><br \/>\n<strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">&#8211; Valyuta kursining barqarorligi \u2013 O\u2018zbekiston so\u2018mining nisbatan barqarorligi import mahsulotlarining narxlari barqarorligiga yordam berdi.<\/span><\/strong><br data-start=\"2191\" data-end=\"2194\" \/><br \/>\n<strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">&#8211; Oziq-ovqat xavfsizligini mustahkamlash \u2013 Qator qishloq xo\u2018jalik mahsulotlarining mahalliy ishlab chiqarilishi narxlarning oshib ketishiga yo\u2018l qo\u2018ymaslikka yordam berdi.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2373\" data-end=\"2875\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Biroq, ayrim qiyinchiliklar ham mavjud:<\/span><\/strong><br data-start=\"2412\" data-end=\"2415\" \/><br \/>\n<strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">&#8211; Elektr energiyasi tariflarining oshishi \u2013 2024 yil may oyida elektr narxlarining oshishi ishlab chiqarish xarajatlarini ko\u2018paytirib, inflyatsiyaga bosim o\u2018tkazdi.<\/span><\/strong><br data-start=\"2588\" data-end=\"2591\" \/><br \/>\n<strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">&#8211; Oziq-ovqat narxlarining o\u2018zgaruvchanligi \u2013 Umumiy tendensiya ijobiy bo\u2018lsa-da, ayrim mahsulotlarning narxi sezilarli darajada oshdi.<\/span><\/strong><br data-start=\"2730\" data-end=\"2733\" \/><br \/>\n<strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">&#8211; Kredit resurslarining cheklanganligi \u2013 Foiz stavkalarining yuqoriligi iste\u2019mol talabini pasaytirib, tadbirkorlik faolligini chekladi.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<hr data-start=\"2877\" data-end=\"2880\" \/>\n<h3 data-start=\"2882\" data-end=\"2936\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">2025 yil uchun prognoz: xavf va imkoniyatlar<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"2937\" data-end=\"3537\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">2025 yilda O\u2018zbekistonda inflyatsiyaning pasayishi davom etishi kutilmoqda, ammo bir qator omillar narxlar barqarorligiga ta\u2019sir qilishi mumkin:<\/span><\/strong><br data-start=\"3085\" data-end=\"3088\" \/><br \/>\n<strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">&#8211; Tariflarning yanada liberallashuvi \u2013 Agar qo\u2018shimcha narx oshishlari zaruriy kompensatsion choralarsiz amalga oshirilsa, inflyatsion bosim ortishi mumkin.<\/span><\/strong><br data-start=\"3249\" data-end=\"3252\" \/><br \/>\n<strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">&#8211; Tashqi iqtisodiy sharoitlar \u2013 Import qilinadigan oziq-ovqat va energiya resurslari narxining oshishi inflyatsiyani kuchaytirishi mumkin.<\/span><\/strong><br data-start=\"3395\" data-end=\"3398\" \/><br \/>\n<strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">&#8211; Ichki bozordagi raqobat \u2013 Kichik va o\u2018rta biznesni qo\u2018llab-quvvatlash narxlarning barqarorligiga ijobiy ta\u2019sir ko\u2018rsatishi mumkin.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3539\" data-end=\"3717\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Ushbu omillarni inobatga olgan holda, O\u2018zbekiston inflyatsiyasi 2025 yilda 7-9% oralig\u2018ida bo\u2018lishi kutilmoqda, bu esa Markaziy bankning belgilangan maqsadiga yaqinlashmoqda.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<hr data-start=\"3719\" data-end=\"3722\" \/>\n<h3 data-start=\"3724\" data-end=\"3767\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Mintaqadagi iqtisodiy istiqbollar<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"3768\" data-end=\"4062\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Inflyatsiyadagi tebranishlarga qaramay, CAREC mintaqasidagi iqtisodiyot 2024 yilda barqaror o\u2018sishni namoyon etdi. CAREC Institutining ma\u2019lumotlariga ko\u2018ra, aksariyat davlatlar yuqori iqtisodiy o\u2018sish sur\u2019atlarini saqlab qoldi, eksport va xizmatlar sektori asosiy o\u2018sish omili bo\u2018ldi.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"4064\" data-end=\"4280\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">O\u2018zbekiston uchun 2024 yil iqtisodiy moslashuv davri bo\u2018ldi. 2025 yilda asosiy e\u2019tibor investitsiyalar, infratuzilmani modernizatsiya qilish va biznes raqobatbardoshligini oshirishga qaratilishi kutilmoqda.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"4282\" data-end=\"4439\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><em data-start=\"4282\" data-end=\"4439\" data-is-last-node=\"\">(Manba: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.carecinstitute.org\/publications\/carec-institutes-quarterly-economic-monitor-no-15\/\" target=\"_new\" rel=\"noopener\" data-start=\"4291\" data-end=\"4437\">CAREC Institute Quarterly Economic Monitor No.15<\/a>)<\/em><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2024 yilda Markaziy Osiyo mintaqaviy iqtisodiy hamkorligi (CAREC) davlatlari ikkita turli inflyatsion bosqichni boshdan kechirdi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4526,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4523","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-press"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4523","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4523"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4523\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4527,"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4523\/revisions\/4527"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4526"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4523"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4523"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4523"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}