{"id":5697,"date":"2026-01-12T00:05:19","date_gmt":"2026-01-11T19:05:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/?p=5697"},"modified":"2026-01-12T13:58:55","modified_gmt":"2026-01-12T08:58:55","slug":"world-economy-2026-analysis-of-global-trends-and-uzbekistan-s-prospects-through-the-lens-of-the-un","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/press\/world-economy-2026-analysis-of-global-trends-and-uzbekistan-s-prospects-through-the-lens-of-the-un\/","title":{"rendered":"Jahon iqtisodiyoti 2026: Global trendlar tahlili va O\u2018zbekiston istiqbollari"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">JAHON IQTISODIY VAZIYATI VA ISTIQBOLLARI 2026:<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Global sharh va BMT baholarida O&#8217;zbekiston iqtisodiy istiqbollari<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><em>BMT hisoboti asosida tahliliy sharh<\/em><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><em>World Economic Situation and Prospects 2026<\/em><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<h1><strong><span style=\"font-size: 24pt;\">Kirish<\/span><\/strong><\/h1>\n<p><em><strong>2026-yil yanvar oyida BMT Iqtisodiy va ijtimoiy masalalar departamenti (UN DESA) BMT Savdo va rivojlanish konferensiyasi (UNCTAD) hamda BMTning beshta mintaqaviy komissiyasi bilan hamkorlikda yillik flagman hisobotini e&#8217;lon qildi \u2014 World Economic Situation and Prospects 2026 (WESP 2026). Ushbu sharh davom etayotgan noaniqlik, geosiyosiy o&#8217;zgarishlar va tarkibiy qiyinchiliklar sharoitida jahon iqtisodiyotining joriy holati va rivojlanish istiqbollarining har tomonlama tahlilini taqdim etadi.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>BMT ekspertlarining baholashiga ko&#8217;ra, jahon iqtisodiyoti notinchliklar sharoitida barqarorlikni namoyish etmoqda, biroq o&#8217;sish sur&#8217;atlari past bo&#8217;lib, pandemiyagacha bo&#8217;lgan darajadan ancha pastda qolmoqda. BMT Bosh kotibi Antonio Guterrishning so&#8217;zboshisida ta&#8217;kidlanganidek, inflyatsiya pasaygan bo&#8217;lsa-da, narxlar yuqori bo&#8217;lib qolmoqda va oshishda davom etmoqda \u2014 bu xarid qobiliyatini kamaytirmoqda va uy xo&#8217;jaliklariga og&#8217;ir yuk bo&#8217;lmoqda.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<h1><span style=\"font-size: 24pt;\"><strong>1. Global iqtisodiy kontekst<\/strong><\/span><\/h1>\n<h2><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>1.1. Makroiqtisodiy istiqbollar<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>BMT baholashlariga ko&#8217;ra, global iqtisodiyot barqarorlikni namoyish etdi, ammo o&#8217;sish yuqori makroiqtisodiy noaniqlik, o&#8217;zgaruvchan savdo siyosati va doimiy fiskal qiyinchiliklar sharoitida past bo&#8217;lib qolmoqda. Geosiyosiy keskinlik va moliyaviy xatarlar global iqtisodiyotga qo&#8217;shimcha bosim o&#8217;tkazmoqda.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><strong>BMTning asosiy prognoz ko&#8217;rsatkichlari:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<table width=\"100%\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"164\">\n<p><strong>Ko&#8217;rsatkich<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"74\">\n<p><strong>2024<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"77\">\n<p><strong>2025 (bah.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"80\">\n<p><strong>2026 (prog.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"75\">\n<p><strong>2027 (prog.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\" width=\"164\">\n<p><strong>Jahon YaIM (%)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"74\">\n<p><strong>2,8<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"77\">\n<p><strong>2,8<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"80\">\n<p><strong>2,7<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"75\">\n<p><strong>2,9<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\" width=\"164\">\n<p><strong>Global inflyatsiya (%)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"74\">\n<p><strong>4,0<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"77\">\n<p><strong>3,4<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"80\">\n<p><strong>3,1<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"75\">\n<p><strong>\u2014<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\" width=\"164\">\n<p><strong>Jahon savdosi (%)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"74\">\n<p><strong>\u2014<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"77\">\n<p><strong>3,8<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"80\">\n<p><strong>2,2<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"75\">\n<p><strong>\u2014<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: left;\" width=\"164\">\n<p><strong>Ishsizlik (%)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"74\">\n<p><strong>5,0<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"77\">\n<p><strong>5,0<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"80\">\n<p><strong>4,9<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"75\">\n<p><strong>\u2014<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>BMT prognozlariga ko&#8217;ra, 2025-yilda 2,8% darajasida baholangan jahon YaIM o&#8217;sishi 2026-yilda 2,7%ga biroz pasayishi, so&#8217;ngra 2027-yilda 2,9%ga ko&#8217;tarilishi kutilmoqda. Bu ko&#8217;rsatkichlar 2010-2019 yillardagi pandemiyagacha bo&#8217;lgan o&#8217;rtacha darajadan (3,2%) ancha past.<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>1.2. Inflyatsiya dinamikasi<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Global dezinflyatsiya 2025-yilda davom etdi va BMT ekspertlarining fikricha, bu tendentsiya yaqin istiqbolda saqlanib qoladi. O&#8217;rtacha global inflyatsiya 2024-yildagi 4,0%dan 2025-yilda 3,4%ga tushdi va 2026-yilda 3,1%gacha yanada sekinlashishi kutilmoqda.<\/p>\n<p>Hisobotda ta&#8217;kidlanganidek, inflyatsiyaning pasayishi xalqaro energiya va oziq-ovqat narxlarining tushishi, valyuta kurslarining barqarorlashishi va nominal ish haqi o&#8217;sishining sekinlashishi bilan bog&#8217;liq. BMT ma&#8217;lumotlariga ko&#8217;ra, 2025-yilda dunyoning taxminan 40% davlatlarida inflyatsiya uzoq muddatli o&#8217;rtacha ko&#8217;rsatkichlarga (2010-2019 yillar) qaytdi.<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>1.3. Xalqaro savdo<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Hisobot ma&#8217;lumotlariga ko&#8217;ra, jahon savdosi 2025-yilda savdo siyosati noaniqligining kuchayishi va AQSh tariflarining oshishiga qaramay, 3,8% o&#8217;sish bilan barqarorligini saqlab qoldi. O&#8217;sish yangi tariflar oldidan oldindan yetkazib berish hisobiga tovar aylanmasining kuchayishi, shuningdek xizmatlar savdosining barqaror kengayishi bilan qo&#8217;llab-quvvatlandi.<\/p>\n<p>BMT ekspertlari jahon savdosi o&#8217;sishining 2026-yilda 2,2%ga sekinlashishini prognoz qilmoqda, chunki oldindan yetkazib berish ta&#8217;siri yo&#8217;qoladi va tariflar mustahkamlanadi. Xizmatlar savdosi 2025-yilda real ifodada 5,3%ga o&#8217;sgan deb baholanmoqda.<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>1.4. Mehnat bozorlari<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Hisobotda keltirilgan Xalqaro mehnat tashkiloti baholashlariga ko&#8217;ra, global ishsizlik darajasi 2025-yilda tarixiy past darajada \u2014 5% da qoldi va 2026-yilda 4,9%ga biroz pasayishi kutilmoqda. Biroq tarkibiy muammolar saqlanib qolmoqda: mehnat kuchida ishtirok etishdagi gender farqi katta bo&#8217;lib qolmoqda, yoshlar (15-24 yosh) orasidagi ishsizlik umumiy ishsizlik darajasidan ikki barobardan ko&#8217;p.<\/p>\n<p>BMT ma&#8217;lumotlariga ko&#8217;ra, dunyoda taxminan 257 million yosh (har beshtadan biri) ishlamaydi, o&#8217;qimaydi va kasbiy tayyorgarlikdan o&#8217;tmaydi (NEET).<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>1.5. Pul o&#8217;tkazmalari va tashqi moliyalashtirish<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>BMT hisobotida ta&#8217;kidlanganidek, migrant ishchilarning pul o&#8217;tkazmalari rivojlanayotgan mamlakatlar uchun eng yirik va barqaror tashqi moliyalashtirish manbalaridan biriga aylandi. 2023 va 2024 yillarda past va o&#8217;rta daromadli mamlakatlarga pul o&#8217;tkazmalari mos ravishda 636 va 699,9 milliard AQSh dollarini tashkil etdi, bu sof to&#8217;g&#8217;ridan-to&#8217;g&#8217;ri xorijiy investitsiyalar va rasmiy rivojlanish yordami yig&#8217;indisidan oshib ketdi.<\/p>\n<p>Biroq BMT ekspertlari 2026-2027 yillarda rasmiy rivojlanish yordami (ODA)ning kamayishi prognozi haqida xavotir bildirmoqda. OECD baholashlariga ko&#8217;ra, Rivojlanishga ko&#8217;maklashish qo&#8217;mitasi a&#8217;zo davlatlaridan ODA 2024-yildagi 9% pasayishdan keyin 2025-yilda 9-17%ga qisqardi.<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>1.6. Sun&#8217;iy intellekt va texnologik transformatsiya<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>BMT ekspertlari baholashlariga ko&#8217;ra, sun&#8217;iy intellekt mehnat unumdorligini oshirishning potentsial drayveri sifatida namoyon bo&#8217;lmoqda. Hisobotda keltirilgan JST prognozlariga ko&#8217;ra, SI 2025-2040 yillar orasida raqamli xizmatlar hajmining o&#8217;sishi, tovar savdosida operatsion xarajatlarning kamayishi va xizmatlar ko&#8217;rsatish samaradorligining oshishi hisobiga jahon savdosini deyarli 40%ga oshirishi mumkin.<\/p>\n<p>Biroq hisobotda ta&#8217;kidlanishicha, bunday faoliyat sezilarli texnologik va moliyaviy imkoniyatlarga ega bir nechta yirik iqtisodiyotlarda to&#8217;plangan bo&#8217;lib qolmoqda, bu esa mamlakatlar o&#8217;rtasidagi mavjud tafovutlarni chuqurlashtirishiga olib kelishi mumkin.<\/p>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"22\"><b data-path-to-node=\"35\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">\u00a0<\/b><span style=\"font-size: 24pt;\"><strong>2. BMT baholarida O&#8217;zbekiston iqtisodiy istiqbollari<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>WESP 2026 hisobotida O&#8217;zbekiston bir necha kontekstda eslatilgan bo&#8217;lib, bu xalqaro ekspert hamjamiyati tomonidan uning mintaqaviy va global iqtisodiyotdagi rolining tan olinishidan dalolat beradi. Mamlakat Mustaqil Davlatlar Hamdo&#8217;stligi (MDH) mintaqasining bir qismi sifatida qaraladi, dengizga chiqish imkoniyatiga ega bo&#8217;lmagan rivojlanayotgan mamlakatlar (LLDC) guruhiga kiradi va MDH mamlakatlari orasida yoqilg&#8217;i netto-importyorlari toifasiga mansub.<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>2.1. Iqtisodiy o&#8217;sish dinamikasi<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>BMT hisobotining statistik ma&#8217;lumotlariga ko&#8217;ra, O&#8217;zbekiston iqtisodiyoti MDH mintaqasi va rivojlanayotgan mamlakatlar orasida eng yuqori o&#8217;sish sur&#8217;atlaridan birini namoyish etmoqda:<\/p>\n<table width=\"100%\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"118\">\n<p><strong>Ko&#8217;rsatkich<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"67\">\n<p><strong>2023<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"67\">\n<p><strong>2024<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"71\">\n<p><strong>2025 (bah.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"74\">\n<p><strong>2026 (prog.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"75\">\n<p><strong>2027 (prog.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"118\">\n<p><strong>YaIM o&#8217;sishi (%)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"67\">\n<p><strong>6,0<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"67\">\n<p><strong>6,5<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"71\">\n<p><strong>7,3<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"74\">\n<p><strong>6,0<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"75\">\n<p><strong>5,9<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Ta&#8217;kidlash joizki, BMT prognozlariga ko&#8217;ra, O&#8217;zbekistonda YaIM o&#8217;sishi 2025-yilda (7,3%) jahon o&#8217;rtacha ko&#8217;rsatkichidan (2,7%) 2,7 barobardan ko&#8217;p. O&#8217;zbekistonda 2003-2017 yillar davomida YaIM o&#8217;rtacha yillik o&#8217;sish sur&#8217;ati 7,6% ni tashkil etdi, bu mamlakatning barqaror iqtisodiy rivojlanish yo&#8217;lidan dalolat beradi.<\/p>\n<p>Hisobotda ta&#8217;kidlanganidek, O&#8217;zbekiston Qirg&#8217;iziston va Tojikiston bilan birga oltin narxlarining ko&#8217;tarilishi, yirik infratuzilmaviy investitsiyalar va turizm sektorining kengayishidan foyda olishda davom etdi.<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>2.2. Inflyatsiya dinamikasi<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>BMT ma&#8217;lumotlariga ko&#8217;ra, O&#8217;zbekistonda inflyatsiya barqaror pasayish tendentsiyasini namoyish etmoqda:<\/p>\n<table width=\"100%\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"118\">\n<p><strong>Ko&#8217;rsatkich<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"67\">\n<p><strong>2023<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"67\">\n<p><strong>2024<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"71\">\n<p><strong>2025 (bah.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"74\">\n<p><strong>2026 (prog.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"75\">\n<p><strong>2027 (prog.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"118\">\n<p><strong>Inflyatsiya (%)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"67\">\n<p><strong>10,0<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"67\">\n<p><strong>9,3<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"71\">\n<p><strong>9,0<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"74\">\n<p><strong>7,1<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"75\">\n<p><strong>5,6<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Ma&#8217;lumotlar inflyatsiyaning 2018-yildagi 17,5%dan 2027-yilga prognoz qilingan 5,6%ga izchil pasayganidan dalolat beradi, bu anti-inflyatsion siyosatning samaradorligini ko&#8217;rsatadi.<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>2.3. Pul-kredit siyosati<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>BMT hisobotida ta&#8217;kidlanishicha, bir qator o&#8217;tish davri iqtisodiyotlarining markaziy banklari, jumladan Belarus, Qozog&#8217;iston, Qirg&#8217;iziston, Ukraina va O&#8217;zbekiston, yuqori inflyatsiya sharoitida 2025-yilda pul-kredit siyosatini qattiqlashtirish yo&#8217;nalishida harakat qildi. Bu regulyatorlarning narx barqarorligi ta&#8217;minlash uchun faol yondashuvidan dalolat beradi.<\/p>\n<p>BMT ekspertlari prognozlariga ko&#8217;ra, inflyatsiyaning pasayishi 2026-yilda mintaqaning ba&#8217;zi iqtisodiyotlarida foiz stavkalarini asta-sekin kamaytirish uchun imkoniyat yaratishi mumkin.<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>2.4. Mintaqaviy kontekst: MDH va Markaziy Osiyo<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Hisobotda ta&#8217;kidlanishicha, Rossiya Federatsiyasi iqtisodiyoti sezilarli sekinlashishni boshdan kechirayotgan bo&#8217;lsa-da, Kavkaz va Markaziy Osiyo mamlakatlarining aksariyati kuchli iqtisodiy dinamikani saqlab qoldi. BMT prognozlariga ko&#8217;ra, bu farqlanish 2026-yilda ham davom etadi.<\/p>\n<p>BMT tahlilida qayd etilganidek, Rossiya Federatsiyasi bilan savdo uchun tranzit markaz sifatida xizmat qilishning afzalliklari Kavkaz va Markaziy Osiyo iqtisodiyotlari uchun asta-sekin kamaymoqda. Shunga qaramay, bu mintaqalardagi ko&#8217;plab mamlakatlarda kuchli ichki drayverlarga tayangan holda barqaror iqtisodiy o&#8217;sish davom etdi, jumladan faol xususiy iste&#8217;mol, ishsizlikning kamayishi, pul o&#8217;tkazmalarining barqaror oqimi va uy xo&#8217;jaliklari kreditlarining jadal o&#8217;sishi.<\/p>\n<p>Alohida ta&#8217;kidlanishicha, fiskal siyosat ichki investitsiyalarga, jumladan Xitoy bilan hamkorlikda amalga oshirilayotgan mintaqaviy infratuzilma loyihalariga yo&#8217;naltirilgan qo&#8217;llab-quvvatlovchi xususiyatga ega.<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>2.5. O&#8217;zbekiston LLDC toifasida<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>O&#8217;zbekiston rasman dengizga chiqish imkoniyatiga ega bo&#8217;lmagan rivojlanayotgan mamlakatlar (LLDC) guruhiga kiradi. BMT baholashlariga ko&#8217;ra, LLDC mamlakatlarining iqtisodiy o&#8217;sishi 2025-yildagi taxminiy 5,3%dan 2026 va 2027 yillarda 4,9%ni tashkil etishi prognoz qilinmoqda.<\/p>\n<p>Hisobotda ko&#8217;rsatilishicha, Nepal va Tojikiston kabi mamlakatlarda pul o&#8217;tkazmalari ichki talabni qo&#8217;llab-quvvatlashning muhim manbai bo&#8217;lib qolmoqda. Shunga o&#8217;xshash vaziyat O&#8217;zbekiston uchun ham xos bo&#8217;lib, bu yerda migrantlarning pul o&#8217;tkazmalari iste&#8217;mol talabini qo&#8217;llab-quvvatlashda muhim rol o&#8217;ynaydi.<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>2.6. MDH mamlakatlari bo&#8217;yicha prognozlar qiyosiy jadvali<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<table width=\"100%\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"141\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><strong>Mamlakat<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"79\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><strong>2024<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"82\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><strong>2025 (bah.)<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"85\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><strong>2026 (prog.)<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"85\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><strong>2027 (prog.)<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"141\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><strong>O&#8217;zbekiston<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"79\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><strong>6,5<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"82\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><strong>7,3<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"85\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><strong>6,0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"85\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><strong>5,9<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"141\">\n<p><strong>Qozog&#8217;iston<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"79\">\n<p><strong>5,0<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"82\">\n<p><strong>6,1<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"85\">\n<p><strong>4,6<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"85\">\n<p><strong>4,8<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"141\">\n<p><strong>Tojikiston<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"79\">\n<p><strong>8,4<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"82\">\n<p><strong>8,0<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"85\">\n<p><strong>6,1<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"85\">\n<p><strong>5,1<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"141\">\n<p><strong>Qirg&#8217;iziston<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"79\">\n<p><strong>9,1<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"82\">\n<p><strong>10,9<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"85\">\n<p><strong>5,9<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"85\">\n<p><strong>6,1<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"141\">\n<p><strong>Gruziya<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"79\">\n<p><strong>9,4<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"82\">\n<p><strong>7,5<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"85\">\n<p><strong>5,4<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"85\">\n<p><strong>5,0<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"141\">\n<p><strong>Armaniston<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"79\">\n<p><strong>5,9<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"82\">\n<p><strong>5,9<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"85\">\n<p><strong>4,8<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"85\">\n<p><strong>4,8<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"141\">\n<p><strong>Rossiya<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"79\">\n<p><strong>4,3<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"82\">\n<p><strong>0,8<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"85\">\n<p><strong>1,0<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"85\">\n<p><strong>1,5<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"141\">\n<p><strong>MDH va Gruziya<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"79\">\n<p><strong>4,6<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"82\">\n<p><strong>2,2<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"85\">\n<p><strong>2,1<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"85\">\n<p><strong>2,5<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h1><span style=\"font-size: 24pt;\"><strong>3. Asosiy xavf-xatarlar va qiyinchiliklar<\/strong><\/span><\/h1>\n<p>BMT hisobotida global va mintaqaviy miqyosda iqtisodiy rivojlanishga ta&#8217;sir qilishi mumkin bo&#8217;lgan bir qator asosiy xavf-xatarlar ajratib ko&#8217;rsatilgan:<\/p>\n<p><strong>Savdo noaniqlik: <\/strong>BMT ekspertlari baholashlariga ko&#8217;ra, tarif choralari va proteksionistik siyosat sezilarli noaniqlik yaratmoqda, savdo xarajatlarini oshirmoqda va rivojlanayotgan iqtisodiyotlarga alohida bosim o&#8217;tkazmoqda.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Geosiyosiy xavf-xatarlar: <\/strong>Ukrainadagi davom etayotgan mojarolar, dunyoning turli mintaqalarida keskinlik va strategik raqobat global makroiqtisodiy sharoitlarga ta&#8217;sir ko&#8217;rsatishda davom etmoqda.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Iqlim xavf-xatarlari: <\/strong>Hisobotda ekstremal ob-havo hodisalariga ta&#8217;sirchanlilikning ortishi qayd etilgan. O&#8217;zbekiston kabi dengizga chiqish imkoniyatiga ega bo&#8217;lmagan rivojlanayotgan mamlakatlar uchun doimiy logistik cheklovlar asosiy tarkibiy qiyinchiliklar bo&#8217;lib qolmoqda.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Moliyaviy xavf-xatarlar: <\/strong>BMT baholashlariga ko&#8217;ra, aktivlarning oshirilgan baholanishi va qarz yuki ortishi keskin moliyaviy tuzatishlar xavfini oshirmoqda.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Demografik qiyinchiliklar: <\/strong>MDHning Yevropa qismida tug&#8217;ilishning kamayishi, emigratsiya va aholining qarishi kabi noqulay demografik tendentsiyalar o&#8217;sish istiqbollariga bosim ko&#8217;rsatishda davom etmoqda.<\/p>\n<h1><span style=\"font-size: 24pt;\"><strong>4. Xalqaro tashabbuslar<\/strong><\/span><\/h1>\n<p>BMT hisobotida 2025-yilning muhim xalqaro tashabbuslariga alohida e&#8217;tibor qaratilgan:<\/p>\n<p><strong>Sevilya majburiyati <\/strong>(Rivojlanishni moliyalashtirish bo&#8217;yicha to&#8217;rtinchi xalqaro konferensiya) rivojlanishni moliyalashtirishni kengaytirish, qarz inqirozini hal qilish va xalqaro moliyaviy arxitekturani isloh qilish bo&#8217;yicha keng qamrovli kun tartibini belgiladi.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Doha siyosiy deklaratsiyasi <\/strong>(Ijtimoiy rivojlanish bo&#8217;yicha ikkinchi Jahon sammiti) qashshoqlikni bartaraf etish, munosib mehnat va ijtimoiy inklyuzivlikka global majburiyatni qayta tasdiqladi.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Belem paketi <\/strong>(COP30) iqlim kun tartibini ilgari surdi, jumladan 2035-yilga kelib adaptatsiya moliyalashtirishni uch barobarga oshirish majburiyati va Adolatli O&#8217;tish mexanizmini joriy etish.<\/p>\n<h1>Xulosa<\/h1>\n<p><strong>BMT WESP 2026 hisoboti tahlili shuni ko&#8217;rsatadiki, O&#8217;zbekiston rivojlanayotgan mamlakatlar orasida alohida o&#8217;rin egallaydi va jahon o&#8217;rtacha ko&#8217;rsatkichlaridan sezilarli darajada yuqori iqtisodiy o&#8217;sish sur&#8217;atlarini namoyish etmoqda.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>O&#8217;zbekistonda 2026-yilga prognoz qilingan 6,0% YaIM o&#8217;sishi jahon o&#8217;rtacha ko&#8217;rsatkichidan (2,7%) ikki barobardan ko&#8217;p. Inflyatsiyaning ikki xonali raqamlardan 2027-yilga prognoz qilingan 5,6%ga izchil pasayishi makroiqtisodiy siyosatning samaradorligini ko&#8217;rsatadi.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"22\"><b data-path-to-node=\"35\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Ayni paytda, BMT hisobotida ta&#8217;kidlanganidek, dengizga chiqish imkoniyatiga ega bo&#8217;lmagan mamlakatlarga xos tarkibiy qiyinchiliklar saqlanib qolmoqda: logistik cheklovlar, xom ashyo eksportiga bog&#8217;liqlik va iqtisodiyotni diversifikatsiya qilish zarurati. Ushbu muammolarni muvaffaqiyatli hal etish, iqtisodiy islohotlarni davom ettirish bilan birgalikda O&#8217;zbekistonga ijobiy rivojlanish yo&#8217;lini saqlab qolish va mintaqaviy iqtisodiyotdagi o&#8217;rnini mustahkamlash imkonini beradi.<\/b><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"22\"><b data-path-to-node=\"35\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Manba:<\/b> <a class=\"ng-star-inserted\" href=\"https:\/\/unctad.org\/publication\/world-economic-situation-and-prospects-2026\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-hveid=\"0\" data-ved=\"0CAAQ_4QMahgKEwjF3JWTh4OSAxUAAAAAHQAAAAAQ9AM\">World Economic Situation and Prospects 2026 (UNCTAD\/UN DESA)<\/a><\/p>\n<p><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>BMT \u201cJahon iqtisodiy holati va uning 2026-yildagi istiqbollari\u201d nomli yangi hisobotiga ko\u2018ra, global iqtisodiyot barqaror, ammo cheklangan o\u2018sish bosqichiga qadam qo\u2018ydi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5698,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5697","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-press"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5697","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5697"}],"version-history":[{"count":17,"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5697\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5715,"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5697\/revisions\/5715"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5698"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5697"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5697"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5697"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}