{"id":5844,"date":"2026-01-25T09:33:01","date_gmt":"2026-01-25T04:33:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/?p=5844"},"modified":"2026-01-27T09:44:30","modified_gmt":"2026-01-27T04:44:30","slug":"imf-global-economy-demonstrates-resilience-amid-divergent-forces","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/press\/imf-global-economy-demonstrates-resilience-amid-divergent-forces\/","title":{"rendered":"XVF: Jahon iqtisodiyoti turli yo\u02bbnalishli omillar fonida barqarorlik namoyish etmoqda"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"3\"><em><strong>Xalqaro valyuta jamg\u02bbarmasi (XVF) \u201cJahon iqtisodiyotining rivojlanish istiqbollari\u201d (2026-yil yanvar) hisobotining yangilangan sonini e\u02bclon qildi. Unga ko\u02bbra, jahon iqtisodiyoti 2026-yilda 3,3% va 2027-yilda 3,2% darajasida barqaror o\u02bbsishi prognoz qilinmoqda. Ushbu ko\u02bbrsatkichlar 2025-yil uchun baholangan 3,3% lik natijaga yaqin bo\u02bblib, global iqtisodiyotning turli zid omillar ta\u02bcsirida ham chidamliligini ko\u02bbrsatadi.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<h3 data-path-to-node=\"4\">Global tendensiyalar: chorlovlar va imkoniyatlar muvozanati<\/h3>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"5\">XVF tahliliga ko\u02bbra, jahon iqtisodiyotidagi nisbiy barqarorlik omillarning murakkab o\u02bbzaro ta\u02bcsiri natijasidir. Bir tomondan, savdo siyosatidagi o\u02bbzgarishlar va davom etayotgan noaniqliklar salbiy ta\u02bcsir ko\u02bbrsatmoqda. Ikkinchi tomondan esa, texnologiyalar va sun\u02bciy intellekt (SI) bilan bog\u02bbliq investitsiyalarning keskin o\u02bbsishi (ayniqsa Shimoliy Amerika va Osiyoda), shuningdek, yumshoq moliyaviy sharoitlar va xususiy sektorning moslashuvchanligi sezilarli darajada qo\u02bbllab-quvvatlovchi omil bo\u02bblmoqda.<\/p>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"6\"><b data-path-to-node=\"6\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Prognozdagi asosiy o\u02bbzgarishlar:<\/b><\/p>\n<ul data-path-to-node=\"7\">\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"7,0,0\">2026-yilgi o\u02bbsish prognozi oktyabr oyidagi ko\u02bbrsatkichga nisbatan 0,2 foiz punktiga oshirildi.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"7,1,0\">2027-yil uchun prognoz o\u02bbzgarishsiz qoldi.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"7,2,0\">Global inflyatsiya 2025-yildagi 4,1% dan 2026-yilda 3,8% gacha va 2027-yilda 3,4% gacha pasayishi kutilmoqda.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 data-path-to-node=\"8\">Rivojlangan iqtisodiyotga ega davlatlar: notekis dinamika<\/h3>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"9\">Rivojlangan davlatlarda o\u02bbsish 2026-yilda 1,8% va 2027-yilda 1,7% darajasida bo\u02bblishi kutilmoqda. Bunda dinamika sezilarli darajada farq qiladi:<\/p>\n<ul data-path-to-node=\"10\">\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"10,0,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"10,0,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">AQSH<\/b> eng optimistik prognozlarni namoyish etmoqda \u2014 budjet rag\u02bbbatlantiruvi va foiz stavkalarining pasayishi hisobiga 2026-yilda o\u02bbsish 2,4% ni tashkil etadi. SI bilan bog\u02bbliq texnologik bum 2025-yilning dastlabki uch choragida YaIM o\u02bbsishiga taxminan 0,3 foiz punkti qo\u02bbshdi.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"10,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"10,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Yevrohudud<\/b> mo\u02bbtadilroq o\u02bbsish sur\u02bcatlarini ko\u02bbrsatmoqda (2026-yilda 1,3% va 2027-yilda 1,4%), bu tarkibiy muammolar va texnologik bumdan kamroq foyda olingani bilan izohlanadi. <b data-path-to-node=\"10,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"177\">Germaniya<\/b> 2024-yildagi 0,5% lik pasayishdan so\u02bbng, 2026-yilda o\u02bbsish 1,1% gacha tezlashishini kutmoqda.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"10,2,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"10,2,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Yaponiya<\/b> iqtisodiyoti hukumat tomonidan e\u02bclon qilingan budjet rag\u02bbbatlantirish paketiga qaramay, 2026-yilda 0,7% va 2027-yilda 0,6% gacha sekinlashishi prognoz qilinmoqda.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 data-path-to-node=\"11\">Shakllanayotgan bozorlar: 4% dan yuqori barqaror o\u02bbsish<\/h3>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"12\">Shakllanayotgan bozorlar va rivojlanayotgan mamlakatlarda iqtisodiy o\u02bbsish 2026 va 2027-yillarda 4,0% dan bir oz yuqori bo\u02bblishi kutilmoqda.<\/p>\n<ul data-path-to-node=\"13\">\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"13,0,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"13,0,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Xitoy:<\/b> 2026-yil uchun prognoz rag\u02bbbatlantirish choralari va AQSH bilan bir yillik \u201csavdo sulhi\u201d tufayli 0,3 foiz punktiga oshirilib, 4,5% ni tashkil etdi. 2027-yilda tarkibiy cheklovchi omillar sababli o\u02bbsish 4,0% gacha sekinlashishi kutilmoqda.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"13,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"13,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Hindiston:<\/b> 2025-yilgi o\u02bbsish ko\u02bbrsatkichi yilning ikkinchi yarmidagi kuchli dinamika evaziga 0,7 foiz punktiga oshirilib, hayratlanarli 7,3% ga yetdi. 2026\u20132027 yillarda esa 6,4% darajasidagi barqaror o\u02bbsish prognoz qilinmoqda.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 data-path-to-node=\"14\">Markaziy Osiyo: iqtisodiy o\u02bbsishning tezlashishi<\/h3>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"15\">Yaqin Sharq va Markaziy Osiyo mintaqasi ijobiy dinamika ko\u02bbrsatmoqda. XVF prognoziga ko\u02bbra, mintaqada iqtisodiy o\u02bbsish 2025-yildagi 3,7% dan 2026-yilda 3,9% gacha va 2027-yilda 4,0% gacha tezlashadi.<\/p>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"16\"><b data-path-to-node=\"16\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">O\u02bbsish omillari:<\/b><\/p>\n<ul data-path-to-node=\"17\">\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"17,0,0\">Neft qazib olish hajmining oshishi;<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"17,1,0\">Barqaror mahalliy talab;<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"17,2,0\">Davom etayotgan iqtisodiy islohotlar;<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"17,3,0\">Makroiqtisodiy barqarorlikning yaxshilanishi.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"18\">Markaziy Osiyoning eng yirik iqtisodiyoti \u2014 <b data-path-to-node=\"18\" data-index-in-node=\"44\">Qozog\u02bbiston<\/b>, 2025-yildagi 6,2% lik yuqori o\u02bbsishdan so\u02bbng, 2026-yilda 4,4% va 2027-yilda 4,2% lik ko\u02bbrsatkichlarni kutmoqda, bu hali ham jahon miqyosidagi o\u02bbrtacha ko\u02bbrsatkichlardan sezilarli darajada yuqoridir.<\/p>\n<h3 data-path-to-node=\"19\">O\u02bbzbekiston uchun istiqbollar<\/h3>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"20\">XVFning e\u02bclon qilingan hisobotida O\u02bbzbekiston umumiy jadvallarda alohida satr bilan ajratilmagan bo\u02bblsa-da, mamlakat iqtisodiyoti Markaziy Osiyo mintaqasining bir qismi sifatida quyidagilardan foyda olishda davom etmoqda:<\/p>\n<ul data-path-to-node=\"21\">\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"21,0,0\">Amalga oshirilayotgan tarkibiy islohotlar;<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"21,1,0\">Investitsiya muhitining yaxshilanishi;<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"21,2,0\">Iqtisodiyotning diversifikatsiyasi;<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"21,3,0\">Xomashyo bo\u02bblmagan sektorlarning rivojlanishi;<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"21,4,0\">Raqamli transformatsiya.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"22\">2017-yildan buyon izchil islohotlarni amalga oshirayotgan O\u02bbzbekiston, mintaqaviy ijobiy tendensiyalardan foydalanish, texnologik bum va global yetkazib berish zanjirlarining qayta yo\u02bbnaltirilishi sharoitida xorijiy investitsiyalarni jalb qilish uchun yaxshi imkoniyatlarga ega.<\/p>\n<h3 data-path-to-node=\"23\">Xatarlar va chorlovlar<\/h3>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"24\">XVF jahon iqtisodiyoti uchun xatarlar yomonlashish tomon siljiganini qayd etadi: <b data-path-to-node=\"24\" data-index-in-node=\"81\">Asosiy xatarlar:<\/b><\/p>\n<ul data-path-to-node=\"25\">\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"25,0,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"25,0,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Texnologiya sektori:<\/b> Sun\u02bciy intellektdan kutilmalarning haddan tashqari yuqori baholanishi moliyaviy bozorlarda korreksiyaga olib kelishi mumkin.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"25,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"25,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Savdo siyosati:<\/b> Savdo nizolarining keskinlashishi noaniqlik davrini uzaytirishi mumkin.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"25,2,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"25,2,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Geosiyosat:<\/b> Yaqin Sharq, Ukraina yoki boshqa mintaqalardagi keskinlikning kuchayishi.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"25,3,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"25,3,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Budjet barqarorligi:<\/b> Yirik iqtisodiyotlardagi davlat qarzining yuqori darajasi foiz stavkalarining oshishiga olib kelishi mumkin.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"26\"><b data-path-to-node=\"26\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Ijobiy omillar:<\/b><\/p>\n<ul data-path-to-node=\"27\">\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"27,0,0\">SIning tezkor joriy etilishi 2026-yilda global o\u02bbsishni 0,3 foiz punktiga oshirishi mumkin.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"27,1,0\">Savdo muzokaralaridagi siljishlar tariflar va noaniqlikni kamaytiradi.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"27,2,0\">Tarkibiy islohotlarning tezlashishi o\u02bbsish salohiyatini barqaror oshirishi mumkin.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 data-path-to-node=\"28\">XVFning iqtisodiy siyosat bo\u02bbyicha tavsiyalari<\/h3>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"29\">Barqarorlik va izchil o\u02bbsishni ta\u02bcminlash uchun XVF quyidagilarni tavsiya qiladi: <b data-path-to-node=\"29\" data-index-in-node=\"82\">Budjet siyosati:<\/b><\/p>\n<ul data-path-to-node=\"30\">\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"30,0,0\">Budjet zaxiralarini tiklash;<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"30,1,0\">O\u02bbrta muddatli budjet konsolidatsiyasiga sodiqlik;<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"30,2,0\">Xarajatlar samaradorligini oshirish;<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"30,3,0\">Sanoat siyosati choralaridan oqilona foydalanish.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"31\"><b data-path-to-node=\"31\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Pul-kredit siyosati:<\/b><\/p>\n<ul data-path-to-node=\"32\">\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"32,0,0\">Narxlar barqarorligini saqlash uchun siyosatni moslashtirish;<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"32,1,0\">Markaziy banklar mustaqilligini saqlab qolish;<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"32,2,0\">Inflyatsiya maqsadli ko\u02bbrsatkichga yaqin bo\u02bblgan mamlakatlarda foiz stavkalarini bosqichma-bosqich pasaytirish.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"33\"><b data-path-to-node=\"33\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Tarkibiy islohotlar:<\/b><\/p>\n<ul data-path-to-node=\"34\">\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"34,0,0\">Ishchi kuchi malakasini oshirish;<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"34,1,0\">Ishchilar mobilligi uchun to\u02bbsiqlarni kamaytirish;<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"34,2,0\">Tadbirkorlik faoliyatini tartibga solishni yaxshilash;<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"34,3,0\">Innovatsiyalar va raqamli transformatsiyaga ko\u02bbmaklashish.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 data-path-to-node=\"35\">Investorlar va biznes uchun xulosalar<\/h3>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"36\">XVF prognozi ko\u02bbplab chorlovlarga qaramay, jahon iqtisodiyoti chidamlilik ko\u02bbrsatayotganidan dalolat beradi. Bu investorlar va biznes uchun quyidagilarni anglatadi:<\/p>\n<ol start=\"1\" data-path-to-node=\"37\">\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"37,0,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"37,0,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Mintaqaviy diversifikatsiya:<\/b> Markaziy Osiyo jahon miqyosidagi o\u02bbrtacha ko\u02bbrsatkichdan yuqori o\u02bbsish sur\u02bcatlari bilan jozibador imkoniyatlarni taqdim etadi.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"37,1,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"37,1,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Texnologik fokus:<\/b> Texnologiyalar va SIga investitsiyalar o\u02bbsishning asosiy drayveri bo\u02bblib qolmoqda.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"37,2,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"37,2,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Xatarlarni boshqarish:<\/b> Geosiyosiy va savdo noaniqliklarini hisobga olish zarurati.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"37,3,0\"><b data-path-to-node=\"37,3,0\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Uzoq muddatli istiqbol:<\/b> Rivojlanayotgan mamlakatlardagi tarkibiy islohotlar barqaror o\u02bbsish uchun poydevor yaratadi.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"38\">Murakkab global kon\u02bcyunktura sharoitida Markaziy Osiyo mintaqasi, shu jumladan O\u02bbzbekiston, investitsiyalarni jalb qilish va iqtisodiyotning turli sohalarida, ayniqsa texnologiyalar, infratuzilma va xomashyo bo\u02bblmagan tarmoqlarda loyihalarni amalga oshirish uchun ulkan salohiyatga ega.<\/p>\n<hr data-path-to-node=\"39\" \/>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"40\"><i data-path-to-node=\"40\" data-index-in-node=\"0\">Manba: Xalqaro valyuta jamg\u02bbarmasi (XVF), \u201cJahon iqtisodiyotining rivojlanish istiqbollari\u201d \u2014 Byulleten, 2026-yil yanvar.<\/i><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.imf.org\/en\/publications\/weo\/issues\/2026\/01\/19\/world-economic-outlook-update-january-2026\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.imf.org\/en\/publications\/weo\/issues\/2026\/01\/19\/world-economic-outlook-update-january-2026<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Xalqaro valyuta jamg\u02bbarmasi (XVF) \u201cJahon iqtisodiyotining rivojlanish istiqbollari\u201d (2026-yil yanvar) hisobotining yangilangan sonini e\u02bclon qildi. Unga ko\u02bbra, jahon iqtisodiyoti 2026-yilda 3,3% va 2027-yilda 3,2% darajasida barqaror o\u02bbsishi prognoz qilinmoqda.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5846,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5844","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-press"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5844","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5844"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5844\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5849,"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5844\/revisions\/5849"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5846"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5844"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5844"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/invexi.org\/uz\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5844"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}